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McDonald's (McDonald's) Altman Z2-Score : 5.16 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is McDonald's Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

McDonald's has a Altman Z2-Score of 5.16, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for McDonald's's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MCD' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.15   Med: 5.83   Max: 6.93
Current: 5.16

During the past 13 years, McDonald's's highest Altman Z2-Score was 6.93. The lowest was 4.15. And the median was 5.83.


McDonald's Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for McDonald's's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

McDonald's Altman Z2-Score Chart

McDonald's Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.76 4.15 5.07 5.15 5.16

McDonald's Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.15 5.21 5.54 5.70 5.16

Competitive Comparison of McDonald's's Altman Z2-Score

For the Restaurants subindustry, McDonald's's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


McDonald's's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, McDonald's's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where McDonald's's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



McDonald's Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

McDonald's's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0201+3.26*1.1306+6.72*0.2116+1.05*-0.0773
=5.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $56,147 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,986 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $6,859 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $63,480 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 2515 + 2923.5 + 2816.7 + 2267 = $10,522 Mil.
Interest Expense was -360.2 + -340.7 + -330.2 + -329.7 = $-1,361 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $60,854 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(7986.4 - 6859)/56146.8
=0.0201

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=63479.9/56146.8
=1.1306

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(10522.2 - -1360.8)/56146.8
=0.2116

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(-4706.7 - 0)/60853.5
=-0.0773

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

McDonald's has a Altman Z2-Score of 5.16 indicating it is in Safe Zones.


McDonald's  (NYSE:MCD) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


McDonald's Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of McDonald's's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


McDonald's (McDonald's) Business Description

Address
110 North Carpenter Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
McDonald's is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2022 system sales of $116 billion across more than 40,000 stores and 115 markets. McDonald's pioneered the franchise model, building its footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees and master franchise partners around the globe. The firm earns roughly 60% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with most of the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed markets.
Executives
Heidi B Capozzi officer: EVP - Chief People Officer C/O THE BOEING COMPANY, 100 RIVERSIDE PLAZA, CHICAGO IL 60606-1596
Joseph M. Erlinger officer: President, McDonald's USA MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Marion K. Gross officer: EVP-Chief Supply Chain Officer MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Christopher J Kempczinski director, officer: President and CEO THREE LAKES DRIVE, NORTHFIELD IL 60093
Brian S Rice officer: EVP-Global Chief Info. Officer 7000 CARDINAL PLACE, DUBLIN OH 43017
Edith Morgan Flatley officer: EVP - Global CMO MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Ian Frederick Borden officer: EVP & CFO MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Enrique Jr Hernandez director, other: Non-Exec Chairman of the Board INTER-CON SECURITY SYSTEMS, INC., 210 SOUTH DELACEY AVENUE, PASADENA CA 91105
Desiree Ralls-morrison officer: EVP, Chief Legal Off. and Sec. C/O BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION, 300 BOSTON SCIENTIFIC WAY, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Manuel Jm Steijaert officer: EVP - Chief Customer Officer 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Jo Sempels officer: President, IDL MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Catherine A. Hoovel officer: SVP - Corporate Controller MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Catherine M. Engelbert director 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Rogers John W Jr director ARIEL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 200 EAST RANDOLPH DRIVE, SUITE 2900, CHICAGO IL 60601
Jennifer L Taubert director JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933

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